· Holding public figures accountable
Bold predictions.
Honest verdicts.
Public figures make confident calls. We log them, timestamp them, and run the analysis when the future arrives. No free passes.
Latest predictions
96 total“SpaceX Starship will complete an orbital flight and land successfully by end of 2024.”
“X (formerly Twitter) will reach 1 billion monthly active users by 2025.”
“Tesla Optimus robot will be available for purchase by the end of 2026.”
“AGI will be achieved by 2028, capable of performing most economically valuable human work.”
“OpenAI will generate over $1 billion in annual revenue by end of 2024.”
“Bitcoin will reach $500,000 per coin by 2030.”
“Tesla stock will reach $2,000 per share by 2027.”
“Genomic revolution stocks will see 30%+ annual returns through 2028.”
“Bear Stearns is fine, do not take your money out.”
“The S&P 500 will hit 5,000 by the end of 2024.”
“Netflix will struggle to maintain subscriber growth in 2025 due to password-sharing crackdown backlash.”
“The 2024 presidential election will be decided by fewer than 100,000 votes across swing states.”
“Polling errors in 2026 midterms will be smaller than in 2020 and 2022 cycles.”
“AI will pass a valid Turing test by 2029, indistinguishable from human in text conversation.”
“Solar energy will satisfy 100% of global energy needs by 2033.”
“AI will fundamentally change how every software company operates within 5 years.”
“Africa will be almost entirely self-sufficient in food production by 2030.”
“The impact of the internet on the economy will be no greater than the fax machine's by 2005.”
“US inflation will return to the 2% target range by mid-2025 without a major recession.”
“Tesla will achieve full self-driving capability without human intervention by end of 2024.”
Showing 20 of 96 predictions