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“The US will experience a recession in 2024 driven by consumer debt.”

Michael Burry·June 2026
❌False— Resolved June 10, 2026
How we verified this claim▾
The US economy grew throughout 2024, with GDP expanding each quarter and unemployment remaining near historical lows. No recession materialized despite elevated consumer debt levels.
How we reached this verdict▾
The US economy grew throughout 2024, with GDP expanding each quarter and unemployment remaining near historical lows. No recession materialized despite elevated consumer debt levels.
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